Tuesday, 22 October 2013

Bushfires in bushfire season. It must be climate change!

So the climate change scaremongers are out in force again. As fires burn across New South Wales, climate change is, apparently, once again to blame.

The head of the UN's climate change negotiations, Christiana Figueres, said there was a clear link between climate change and bushfires such as those raging in New South Wales even though she noted that the World Meteorological Organisation had not yet established a direct link between the NSW fires and climate change.

Greens Deputy Leader Adam Bandt copped a fair whack from climate change skeptic Andrew Bolt yesterday after blaming Tony Abbott for the bushfires even though Tony Abbott is front and square trying to fight them himself.
"Donning a volunteer firefighter uniform for the media is a con if you're also helping start fires that put people's lives in danger."
Back to Christiana Figueres:
"But what is absolutely clear is the science is telling us that there are increasing heat waves in Asia, Europe, and Australia; that these will continue; that they will continue in their intensity and in their frequency."
According to the NSW Rural Fire Service website:
"Most bushfires occur during the Bushfire Danger Period, from October 1 to March 31 each year."
According to my calculations, the current fires in NSW are occurring in the usual danger period. It is October and NSW has recently experienced hot weather. It's like saying climate change is to blame for a wet and cold July day in Melbourne!

The humorous thing is, and as explained by Bolt, the current fires appear to have started from the very thing our climate change "experts" said wouldn't happen. From Bolt's article in yesterday's Herald Sun:

"For years these alarmists claimed warming had dried up the rains. In 2006 Greens leader Bob Brown warned southern Australia faced "the spectre of permanent drought".
Instead, NSW over the past three years has had two years of massive rain, followed by one of above-average falls. Brown fields turned lush green and top bushfire experts grew alarmed. 
The NSW Rural Fire Service last year warned, "Widespread rain in the past two years has led to grass growth not seen in more than 30 years", and as it dried, NSW faced a greater risk of "large and fast-moving fires".
The Australasian Fire and Emergency Service Authorities Council recently repeated the warning: "Above-average rainfall for much of the preceding three years is likely to continue the trend of heavy grass fuel loads throughout the grassland areas of NSW.""
The current fires have burnt at least 100,000 hectares. Here are some stats from past fires in NSW:
  • 1957 bushfires in the Blue Mountains (which, according to Bolt, also came after years of rain) burnt more than two million hectares and resulted in five deaths.
  • 1968, over two million hectares and fourteen deaths.
  • 1974-75, four and a half million hectares was burnt and six deaths.
  • 1984-85, three and a half million hectares and five deaths.
  • 2002-2003, just under one and a half million hectares and three deaths.

As sad and devastating as it is to see people lose their homes, and potentially their lives, this fire is nowhere near as bad as past fires, both in terms of size and lives lost. Even if it did become as large or larger than past fires, that would make it a huge bushfire that took place during the bushfire danger period!

But let the experts keep telling us Tony Abbott and our nation will pay if we don't put a price on carbon!

All the best,
Dom Meese

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